Sunday, July 11, 2010

First Chinese Rating of Global Sovereign Credit - Guess what's the rank of U.S.?

Dagong Global Credit Rating released sovereign credit ratings of 50 countries, and according to China Daily, it's "the first non-Western rating agency to assess the world's sovereign credit and risks". It claims to be "privately owned" and "pledges to make its judgments impartially". The report rated U.S. government debt AA with a negative outlook, and U.K. an AA-, while China got an AA+.

A challenge to the established global credit rating system, or a long-needed alternative from a non-western entity? Dagong seems to believe that they are in the role of a hero.

Dagong's chairman, Guan Jianzhong, said the current Western-led rating system is to blame for the global crisis and Europe's debt woes. He said it "provides the wrong credit-rating information" and fails to reflect changing conditions.

How much do the west make of this report? What will its impact be, economic or otherwise? It's too soon to know and I awaits for insights from economists and analysts. One of the first reactions come from The Money Game (Business Insider), arguing that this is a good marketing strategy. The complete credit rating report is available in Chinese here. And I translated it into English, see below; or visit it on a webpage here.


NumberCountryNational Currency RatingNational Currency OutlookForeign Currency RatingForeign Currency Outlook
1NorwayAAAStableAAAStable
2DenmarkAAAStableAAAStable
3LuxembourgAAAStableAAAStable
4SwitzerlandAAAStableAAAStable
5SingaporeAAAStableAAAStable
6AustraliaAAAStableAA+Stable
7New ZealandAAAStableAA+Stable
8CanadaAA+StableAA+Stable
9NetherlandAA+StableAA+Stable
10ChinaAA+StableAAAStable
11GermanyAA+StableAA+Stable
12Saudi ArabiaAAStableAAStable
13United StatesAANegativeAANegative
14South KoreaAA-StableAAStable
15JapanAA-NegativeAAStable
16United KingdomAA-NegativeAA-Negative
17FranceAA-NegativeAA-Negative
18BelgiumA+StableA+Stable
19ChileA+StableA+Stable
20South AfricaAStableAStable
21MalaysiaAStableAStable
22EstoniaAStableAStable
23RussiaAStableAStable
24PolandAStableA-Stable
25SpainANegativeANegative
26IsraelA-StableA-Stable
27BrizilA-StableA-Stable
28ItalyA-NegativeA-Negative
29PortugalA-NegativeA-Negative
30IndiaBBBStableBBBStable
31ThailanBBBStableBBBStable
32MexicoBBBStableBBBStable
33KazakhstanBBBStableBBB-Stable
34HungaryBBBNegativeBBB-Negative
35UAEBBBNegativeBBBNegative
36IndonesiaBBB-StableBBB-Stable
37EgyptBB+StableBBB-Stable
38VenezuelaBB+StableBB+Stable
39NigeriaBB+StableBB+Stable
40RomaniaBB+NegativeBBNegative
41GreeceBBStableBBStable
42TurkeyBBStableBB-Stable
43IcelandBBNegativeBB-Negative
44VietnamBB-StableBB-Stable
45MongoliaB+StableB+Stable
46PhillipinsB+StableB+Stable
47ArgentinaBStableBStable
48UkrainBStableB-Stable
49PakistanB-NegativeB-Negative
50EcuadorCCCStableCCCStable



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